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Friday, 13 December 2013

Kim Killing Uncle May Limit China-Style Opening in North Korea

North Korea’s execution of the man in charge of its relationship with top ally China may reduce the chance that the isolated nation adopts the embrace of markets that has seen its neighbor build a middle class.


Jang Song Thaek, 67, a conduit to China who oversaw special economic zones on the two countries’ border, was executed for plotting against Kim Jong Un’s regime, according to a North Korean statement yesterday. Jang, who was Kim’s uncle and a top deputy, traveled to China repeatedly, meeting then-President Hu Jintao and former Premier Wen Jiabao in Beijing in August 2012 and negotiating the deal for the zones.


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Chinese naval vessel tries to force U.S. warship to stop in international waters

A Chinese naval vessel tried to force a U.S. guided missile warship to stop in international waters recently, causing a tense military standoff in the latest case of Chinese maritime harassment, according to defense officials.


The guided missile cruiser USS Cowpens, which recently took part in disaster relief operations in the Philippines, was confronted by Chinese warships in the South China Sea near Beijing’s new aircraft carrier Liaoning, according to officials familiar with the incident.


“On December 5th, while lawfully operating in international waters in the South China Sea, USS Cowpens and a PLA Navy vessel had an encounter that required maneuvering to avoid a collision,” a Navy official said.


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China to end anti-dumping duties on US car imports

China said on Friday it would stop levying anti-dumping and anti-subsidy duties on certain types of cars imported from the United States when the measures expire on Dec 15.


On Dec 14, 2011, China started levying punitive duties on sedans and sport-utility vehicles (SUV) with engines of 2.5 litres and above imported from the United States, in retaliation for US trade policies.


China said at the time that US carmakers including General Motors Co and Chrysler Group had received government subsidies and dumped their vehicles into the Chinese market, which harmed China’s auto industry.


On Friday, the Ministry of Commerce said in a statement on its website that the duties would be terminated because it had not received any applications for a renewal in the anti-dumping investigations.


Growth of the market for imported cars in China eased this year in line with the domestic auto market, partly due to Beijing’s anti-extravagance campaign.


During the first 10 months, 908,000 imported vehicles were sold in China, up 9.6 percent from a year earlier, according to China Automobile Trading Co Ltd. That compares with an increase of 21.7 percent during the same period last year.


The State-owned auto importer expects the imported vehicles market to grow 7 percent next year.






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Chinese farmers expect reform to ease land rights worries

City people barely glance at migrant workers like Li Jinlong, an electric welder, who lives with his wife in makeshift dwellings near plants or construction sites.


Li has spent the past 20 years living a humble life in Chinese cities. He seldom has time to go back to his rural home, a two-story private abode that would be envied by urbanites who want to escape from city life.


Li has never dreamed of buying an apartment in the city, as property prices, even in China’s second-tier cities, are skyrocketing.


What really makes the former farmer from Anhui province anxious is that his rural house and land have been left unattended, yielding no crops nor revenue all these years.


There are more than 200 million farmers like Li toiling in cities without a decent dwelling place. Their farmland and houses in rural areas have never been their own property because they can neither trade them for cash nor mortgage them for bank loans under the country’s land laws.


Although China’s urban property market has flourished since the 1990s, and has been a major engine of economic growth, the collective ownership rules for rural land have not changed, which has constricted rural development.


The reason lies in the fact that farmers who are entitled to property use rights don’t have property certificates to trade these rights.


In order to unleash the vitality of the rural sector, China’s leaders have decided to tackle the rural land issue by putting forward a number of reforms at the Third Plenary Session of the 18th Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held in November. A reform master plan approved at the session promises to give the country’s 650 million rural residents more property rights.


Li feels he is lucky, as his hometown has been listed as one of 20 counties in Anhui to pilot a new round of rural property transfer reform.


The pilot program was announced by the provincial government on the final day of the plenary session. The reform plan is designed to pilot the mortgaging and transfer of farmers’ homesteads, as well as the sale, lease and demutualization of rural construction land.


Anhui is the first Chinese province to announce it will launch the new rural land reform. Details of the reform, however, have not yet been announced.


An official with the provincial bureau of land resources, who declined to be named, said the reform is expected to ease the financing bottleneck to encourage large-scale farming and invigorate the rural economy.


He said the key to tackling reform is to transform the land use rights of rural property from their current state as collective land resources to private property.


Li, the migrant worker, hopes that once transaction is allowed, his property can be sold for a good price, as he has already planned for his retirement.


He wants to sell the house and go live with his son, who is currently working in Anhui’s provincial capital of Hefei.


Lu Pengfei, president of the Pengfei Modern Farming Co-operative in Anhui, said he has already bought 5,000 mu (333 hectares) of land, which was transferred by individual farmers through earlier rural land reforms. However, he cannot mortgage the land to apply for bank loans for large-scale farming activities.


“If my contract management rights for the land could be recognized and eligible for trading or mortgaging, I would have no worries to scale up my operations,” he said.


Previous lessons of rural land reforms


Anhui has long been a test bed for China’s rural land reform. Xiaogang Village in Anhui became famous in 1978 after 18 of its farmers made a secret pact to resist the country’s egalitarian agricultural system. The pact meant that after the farmers handed a certain percentage of their produce to government, they were able to keep the rest of the harvest from their contracted land for themselves.


Their practices were later recognized and followed in other places to encourage farmers’ enthusiasm for productive farming.


In 1999, a reform approved by the country’s authorities of land resources was carried out in Wuhu City of Anhui, allowing transfers of rural land in Longshan so the land could be used for industrial development. Factories were built, creating employment for local farmers, and a township has taken shape.


Land reform has transformed the poor village into a modern town. Farmers now live in apartment buildings with tap water and cooking fuel supplies. Their accesses to banks, schools, hospitals and supermarkets is on par with that of city residents.


The reform piloted in Wuhu has been extended nationwide and has accelerated the building of rural townships in China.


However, Liu Qi, deputy secretary-general of the Anhui provincial government, who is also a veteran agriculture expert, said the Wuhu mode of land reform features a rural land transfer campaign initiated by grassroots authorities, in which farmers still cannot handle their properties on their free will.


Under the Wuhu reform, village or township authorities have encouraged farmers to give up their homesteads in exchange for modern lives with housing, social insurance and other subsidies equal to those of city dwellers.


Instead of putting them up for sale on the free market, farmers’ individual homesteads were collectively bought by the authorities for commercial real estate development.


Liu said under this mode, local authorities, rather than farmers, have been the primary beneficiaries of profits from selling the rights to land use. The individual interests of farmers were not fully considered.


Wang Weiguo, rector of the Civil and Commercial Law School of the China University of Political Sciences, said that in the upcoming rural land reform, farmers should be allowed to decide whether to sell or keep their own properties.


Wang suggested that farmers should be given the right to sell a certain number of years’ worth of management rights for their homesteads through an open transaction platform. After the period has ended, they may take back the property.


Wang said China’s previous land reforms were carried out at the grassroots level and in piloted regions. Future reform will require the central government to carry out top-level design to regulate rural land use and ensure farmers’ property rights.


“The government should mend laws and regulations to facilitate the equity evaluation, transaction, mortgage and registration of property rights in the rural sector to ensure the implementation of the state policies on rural land reform,” he said.






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Wednesday, 11 December 2013

China’s fiscal revenue maintains fast growth

China’s fiscal revenue achieved rapid growth in November, partly due to its stabilizing economy, the Ministry of Finance said Wednesday.


Fiscal revenue rose 15.9 percent year on year in November to 912.5 billion yuan ($149 billion), according to a statement posted on the ministry’s website.


The country’s revenue has experienced double-digit growth for three consecutive months, with a growth of 16.2 percent in October and 13.4 percent in September.






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Explosive bank loan rise may spark tightening of credit

The Chinese central bank said Wednesday that new yuan loans grew more than expected in November, as its leaders met in Beijing to discuss policies, including growth targets, for next year.


Chinese banks extended 624.6 billion yuan ($103 billion) of new yuan loans in November, almost 24 percent higher than the 506.1 billion lent in October.


The figure topped both the 550 billion yuan median forecast in a poll of 11 economists by The Wall Street Journal and the 580 billion yuan median estimate of 41 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.


Aggregate financing came to 1.23 trillion yuan, up from 856.4 billion yuan in October.


M2, a broad measure of money supply, grew 14.2 percent year-on-year, 0.1 percentage points higher than the market consensus.


The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index lost 1.5 percent on Wednesday. The central bank released the data after markets closed.


Zhou Hao, a China economist with Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd, believes a revival in shadow banking shored up social financing.


He pointed to a rise in entrusted loans — a type of off-balance-sheet lending in which lenders act as intermediaries — as proof of an increase in shadow banking.


New entrusted loans totaled 270.4 billion yuan in November, an increase of 148.6 billion yuan over the same period last year and the highest monthly figure since August.


Unclaimed bankers’ acceptances, another channel for off-balance-sheet lending, grew by 5.7 billion yuan in November, 54.6 billion more than the same period last year.


“Increases in the two areas show that lenders are finding ways to lend more against the central bank’s will to control loan growth,” said Zhou.


Beijing has been trying to deleverage a Chinese economy that has become increasingly insensitive to investments on the back of decades of rapid growth.


The stock of debt surged to 200 percent of GDP at the end of 2012, up from 129 percent in 2008, when authorities stimulated the economy with a 4 trillion yuan investment package to fight the global financial crisis.


The faster-than-expected loan growth might trigger central bank officials to get tougher on restraining debt as they meet in Beijing this week to map out policies for 2014, analysts said.


“The ‘prudent’ monetary policy stance will likely be kept, but tightening has already started,” wrote British bank Barclays Plc in a research note on Wednesday, commenting on the meeting.


Barclay expects the M2 growth target to be kept at 13 percent in 2014, compared with the actual growth of more than 14 percent year-to-date. And that may translate to tighter liquidity.


Growth targets likely will be maintained at 7.5 percent in 2014, as maintaining rather than changing those targets should help stabilize market sentiment as the government shifts its focus from creating growth to promoting reforms, the bank added.


Also on Wednesday, the Ministry of Finance said the government’s fiscal income grew 15.9 percent in the first 11 months of the year, to 912.5 billion yuan.


A front-page commentary by China Securities Journal, owned by Xinhua News Agency, said that China should phase out its “proactive” fiscal policy, as it causes large deficits and jeopardizes local government debt.


Fiscal revenue growth has slowed from 32 percent in 2007 to 13 percent in 2012, while analysts believe outstanding local government debt has risen to 15 to 20 trillion yuan.


Barclay expects a “proactive” fiscal policy stance also is likely to be retained.


“In our view, the fiscal policy stance of the past two years can be described as being prudent, as the government stepped up efforts to support the economy only when growth slowed to approach the 7 percent bottom line,” the bank wrote.


By Gao Changxin in Shanghai ( China Daily )






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Japan’s defense plans focus on China and islands dispute

Japan will set up a new amphibious military unit and deploy unarmed surveillance drones in its southwest, where it faces a row with China over disputed islands, according to drafts of the nation’s latest defense plans seen on Wednesday.


Prime Minister Shinzo Abe ordered the defense policy review after returning to office last December, pledging to strengthen the military and boost Japan’s global security role.


The new defense guideline and military build-up plan, to be approved by the government next week, follow China’s declaration in November of a new air defense identification zone in an area that includes the disputed isles, triggering protests from Tokyo, as well as Washington and Seoul.


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